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Estimating economic relationships subject to firm- and time-varying equality ...
Applied econometricians often fail to impose economic regularity constraints in the exact form economic theory prescribes. We show how the Singular Value Decomposition (SVD)... -
Rethinking an old empirical puzzle: econometric evidence on the forward disco...
Using both semiparametric and parametric estimation methods, this paper corroborates earlier findings of fractionally integrated behaviour in the forward premium. Two new... -
Measuring predictability: theory and macroeconomic applications (replication ...
We propose a measure of predictability based on the ratio of the expected loss of a short-run forecast to the expected loss of a long-run forecast. This predictability measure... -
The demand for M3 in the euro area (replication data)
In this paper, an empirically stable money demand model for M3 in the euro area is constructed. Starting with a multivariate system, three cointegrating relationships with... -
A score test for non-nested hypotheses with applications to discrete data mod...
In this paper it is shown that a convenient score test against non-nested alternatives can be constructed from the linear combination of the likelihood functions of the... -
Review of Stata 7 (replication data)
This dataset has no description
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Model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions (replication data)
We investigate the issue of model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA). We find that the posterior probability is spread widely... -
Income distribution and income dynamics in the United Kingdom (replication data)
In this paper, we propose a model of income dynamics which takes account of mobility both within and between jobs. The model is a hybrid of the mover-stayer model of income... -
Unemployment insurance and subsequent job duration: job matching versus unobs...
The relationship between Unemployment Insurance (UI) benefit duration, unemployment duration and subsequent job duration is investigated using a multi-state duration model with... -
A flexible parametric GARCH model with an application to exchange rates (repl...
Many asset prices, including exchange rates, exhibit periods of stability punctuated by infrequent, substantial, often one-sided adjustments. Statistically, this generates... -
Trend-stationary GNP: evidence from a new exact pointwise most powerful invar...
There has been a substantial debate whether GNP has a unit root. However, statistical tests have had little success in distinguishing between unit-root and trend-reverting... -
Monetary policy analysis and inflation targeting in a small open economy: a V...
Empirical monetary policy research has increased in the last decade, possibly because deregulation and explicit monetary targets have made monetary policy issues more... -
The non-linear dynamics of output and unemployment in the U.S. (replication d...
This paper studies the joint dynamics of U.S. output and unemployment rate in a non-linear VAR model. The non-linearity is introduced through a feedback variable that... -
Estimating shocks and impulse response functions (replication data)
This paper examines the issue of how to identify the shocks in a cointegrated VAR when the following assumptions are made: the variables can be classified as endogenous or... -
Non-linear error correction and the UK demand for broad money, 1878-1993 (rep...
In this paper we reconsider an error-correction model of UK broad money demand by Ericsson, Hendry and Prestwich. Their model is non-linear in both variables and parameters, and... -
Descriptive econometrics for non-stationary time series with empirical illust...
Recent work by the author on methods of spatial density analysis for time series data with stochastic trends is reviewed. The methods are extended to include processes with... -
Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships (replication...
This paper develops a new approach to the problem of testing the existence of a level relationship between a dependent variable and a set of regressors, when it is not known... -
Small-system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per ...
The relationships between real wages, output per capita, inflation and unemployment in Italy between 1970 and 1994 are modelled using a cointegrated vector autoregression. There... -
European integration and monetary transmission mechanisms: the case of Italy ...
The focus in this paper is on the monetary transmission mechanism in Italy and how it has changed with the increased independence of the Italian Central Bank and the... -
Clusters of attributes and well-being in the USA (replication data)
Using ARIMA models and entropy, the dynamic evolution of several functions of aggregate income and other attributes of well-being is analysed for statistical similarity in order...
