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IDENTIFICATION ISSUES IN LIMITED‐INFORMATION BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL ...
The likelihood of the parameters in structural macroeconomic models typically has non-identification regions over which it is constant. When sufficiently diffuse priors are... -
POSTERIOR‐PREDICTIVE EVIDENCE ON US INFLATION USING EXTENDED NEW KEYNESIAN PH...
Changing time series properties of US inflation and economic activity, measured as marginal costs, are modeled within a set of extended New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC)... -
IDENTIFYING CAUSAL MECHANISMS (PRIMARILY) BASED ON INVERSE PROBABILITY WEIGHT...
This paper demonstrates the identification of causal mechanisms of a binary treatment under selection on observables, (primarily) based on inverse probability weighting; i.e. we... -
HOW BELIEFS ABOUT HIV STATUS AFFECT RISKY BEHAVIORS: EVIDENCE FROM MALAWI (re...
This paper examines how beliefs about own HIV status affect decisions to engage in risky sexual behavior, as measured by having extramarital sex and/or multiple sex partners.... -
MULTIPLE TESTING AND HETEROGENEOUS TREATMENT EFFECTS: RE-EVALUATING THE EFFEC...
The effect of a program or treatment may vary according to observed characteristics. In such a setting, it may not only be of interest to determine whether the program or... -
IS ECONOMIC RECOVERY A MYTH? ROBUST ESTIMATION OF IMPULSE RESPONSES (replicat...
We estimate the impulse response function (IRF) of GDP to a banking crisis using an extension of the local projections method. We demonstrate that, though robust to... -
STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION FOR LONG-TERM INVESTORS: PARAMETER UNCERTAINTY AND...
We study the effect of parameter uncertainty on the long-run risk for three asset classes: stocks, bills and bonds. Using a Bayesian vector autoregression with an uninformative... -
HOW SENSITIVE ARE RETIREMENT DECISIONS TO FINANCIAL INCENTIVES? A STATED PREF...
We study the effects of financial incentives on retirement decisions using stated preference data. Dutch survey respondents were given hypothetical retirement scenarios... -
TIME VARIATION IN THE DYNAMICS OF WORKER FLOWS: EVIDENCE FROM NORTH AMERICA A...
Vector autoregressive methods have been used to model the interrelationships between job vacancy rates, job separation rates and job-finding rates using tools such as impulse... -
EXPLORING ALL VAR ORDERINGS FOR CALCULATING SPILLOVERS? YES, WE CAN!-A NOTE O...
Diebold and Yilmaz (Economic Journal 2009; 119; 158-171) introduce the spillover index to measure linkages between international financial markets. As their index depends on the...
