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How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model‐based output gap estimat...
This paper illustrates, based on an example, the importance of consistency between empirical measurement and the concept of variables in estimated macroeconomic models. Since... -
What are the macroeconomic effects of high‐frequency uncertainty shocks? (rep...
This paper evaluates the effects of high-frequency uncertainty shocks on a set of low-frequency macroeconomic variables representative of the US economy. Rather than estimating... -
Using a Bayesian Structural Time–Series Model to Infer the Causal Impact on C...
The Bayesian structural time series model, used in conjunction with a state–space model, is a novel means of exploring the causal impact of a policy intervention. It extends the... -
Program code for "Does compressing high school duration affect students' stre...
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