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A Bayesian approach to account for misclassification in prevalence and trend ...
In this paper, we present a Bayesian approach to estimate the mean of a binary variable and changes in the mean over time, when the variable is subject to misclassification... -
Declining discount rates in Singapore's market for privately developed apartm...
Singapore's market for new privately developed apartments exhibits wide quasi-experimental variation in ownership tenure. We develop an empirical model in which prices are... -
Testing Investment Forecast Efficiency with Forecasting Narratives
I analyze the narratives that accompany business cycle forecasting reports of three German institutes using topic models. To this end, I gather multiple similar topics into...
