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Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context (replication data)
In this paper, we propose a hierarchical shrinkage approach for multi-country VAR models. In implementation, we consider three different scale mixtures Normals priors and... -
ARDL bounds test for cointegration: Replicating the Pesaran et al. (2001) res...
This paper replicates the UK earnings equation using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) modeling approach and the bounds test for cointegration by Pesaran et al. (Journal... -
Extremal connectedness of hedge funds (replication data)
We propose a dynamic measure of extremal connectedness tailored to the short reporting period and unbalanced nature of hedge funds data. Using multivariate extreme value... -
Oil prices, gasoline prices, and inflation expectations (replication data)
It has long been suspected, given the salience of gasoline prices, that fluctuations in gasoline prices shift households' 1-year inflation expectations. Assessing this view... -
Making text count: Economic forecasting using newspaper text (replication data)
This paper examines several ways to extract timely economic signals from newspaper text and shows that such information can materially improve forecasts of macroeconomic... -
How is machine learning useful for macroeconomic forecasting? (replication data)
We move beyond Is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting? by adding the how. The current forecasting literature has focused on matching specific variables and... -
Robust inference under time‐varying volatility: A real‐time evaluation of pro...
In many forecast evaluation applications, standard tests as well as tests allowing for time-variation in relative forecast ability build on... -
Generalized band spectrum estimation with an application to the New Keynesian...
This paper proposes a new method for estimating linear dynamic structural models. The proposed generalized band spectrum estimator (GBSE) generalizes band spectrum regression to... -
Nowcasting tail risk to economic activity at a weekly frequency (replication ...
This paper focuses on nowcasts of tail risk to GDP growth, with a potentially wide array of monthly and weekly information used to produce nowcasts on a weekly basis. We... -
Identifying factor‐augmented vector autoregression models via changes in shoc...
This study proposes a method to identify factor-augmented vector autoregression models without imposing uncorrelatedness or any timing restrictions among observed and unobserved... -
Small world: Narrow, wide, and long replication of Goyal, van der Leij and Mo...
I undertake a narrow, wide, and long replication of Goyal, van der Leij and Moraga-Gonzélez (2006, https://doi.org/10.1086/500990). Using social network analysis, they show that... -
Measuring real activity using a weekly economic index (replication data)
This paper describes a weekly economic index (WEI) developed to track the rapid economic developments associated with the onset of and policy response to the novel coronavirus... -
How to estimate a vector autoregression after March 2020 (replication data)
This paper illustrates how to handle a sequence of extreme observations-such as those recorded during the COVID?19 pandemic-when estimating a vector autoregression, which is the... -
Revisiting Sweden's comprehensive school reform: Effects on education and ear...
We revisit a Swedish comprehensive school reform first evaluated by Meghir and Palme (2005). This reform increased years of schooling and abolished tracking. We extend the... -
Early‐life famine exposure, hunger recall, and later‐life health (replication...
We use newly collected individual-level hunger recall information from the China Family Panel Survey to estimate the causal effect of undernourishment on later-life health. We... -
The global component of inflation volatility (replication data)
Global developments play an important role for domestic inflation rates. Earlier literature has found that a substantial amount of the variation in a large set of national... -
Large devaluations and inflation inequality: Replicating Cravino and Levchenk...
In the aftermath of large devaluations, prices of tradable goods/lower-priced varieties increase significantly more than the prices of nontradables/higher-priced varieties.... -
Common factors of commodity prices (replication data)
In this paper, we extract latent factors from a large cross-section of commodity prices, including fuel and non-fuel commodities. We decompose each commodity price series into a... -
Expanding health insurance for the elderly of the Philippines (replication data)
This paper evaluates a Filipino policy that expanded health insurance coverage of its senior citizens, aged 60 and older, in 2014. We employ an instrumental variables estimator... -
Individual consumption in collective households: Identification using repeate...
Individual consumption is typically not observed for individuals living with others. Identification of individual resource shares from household expenditure data requires...