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Identifying exchange rate effects and spillovers of U.S. monetary policy shoc...
We propose a novel econometric approach to estimating time-varying policy effects using external instruments in the presence of time-varying instrument relevance in a... -
Interest Rate Persistence and Monetary Policy Rule in Light of Model Uncertainty
We study how model uncertainty affects the understanding of the interest rate persistence using a generalized Taylor-rule function covering numerous submodels via model average... -
Understanding trend inflation through the lens of the goods and services sect...
We distinguish between the goods and services sectors in an unobserved components model of U.S. inflation. We find that prior to the early 1990s, both sectors contributed to...