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Nonlinear autoregressive leading indicator models of output in G-7 countries ...
This paper studies linear and nonlinear autoregressive leading indicator models of business cycles in G-7 countries. Our models use the spread between short-term and long-term... -
Simple solutions to the initial conditions problem in dynamic, nonlinear pane...
I study a simple, widely applicable approach to handling the initial conditions problem in dynamic, nonlinear unobserved effects models. Rather than attempting to obtain the...
