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Sharp IV Bounds on Average Treatment Effects on the Treated and Other Populat...
In the presence of an endogenous binary treatment and a valid binary instrument, causal effects are point identified only for the subpopulation of compliers, given that the... -
EXCHANGE RATE FUNDAMENTALS, FORECASTING, AND SPECULATION: BAYESIAN MODELS IN ...
Although speculative activity is central to black markets for currency, the out-of-sample performance of structural models in those settings is unknown. We substantially update...