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Dynamic shrinkage in time‐varying parameter stochastic volatility in mean mod...
Successful forecasting models strike a balance between parsimony and flexibility. This is often achieved by employing suitable shrinkage priors that penalize model complexity... -
Social interactions and social preferences in social networks (replication data)
We study social interactions when individuals hold altruistic preferences in social networks. Rich network features can be captured in the resulting best response function. The... -
Fueling conflict? (De)escalation and bilateral aid (replication data)
This paper studies the effects of bilateral foreign aid on conflict escalation and deescalation. First, we develop a new ordinal measure capturing the two-sided and multifaceted... -
The shale revolution and shifting crude dynamics (replication data)
Oil price fluctuates in response to both demand and supply shocks. This paper proposes a new methodology that allows for timely identification of the shifting contribution from... -
Estimation of a dynamic stochastic frontier model using likelihood‐based appr...
This paper considers a panel stochastic production frontier model that allows the dynamic adjustment of technical inefficiency. In particular, we assume that inefficiency... -
Regional output growth in the United Kingdom: More timely and higher frequenc...
Output growth estimates for regions of the UK are currently published at an annual frequency only, released with a long delay, and offer limited historical coverage. To improve... -
The effect of oil supply shocks on US economic activity: What have we learned...
Estimated responses of real oil prices and US gross domestic product (GDP) to oil supply disruptions vary widely. We show that most variation is attributable to differences in... -
Multivariate dynamic intensity peaks‐over‐threshold models (replication data)
We propose a multivariate dynamic intensity peaks-over-threshold model to capture extremes in multivariate return processes. The random occurrence of extremes is modeled by a... -
Interval censored regression with fixed effects (replication data)
This paper considers identification and estimation of a fixed-effects model with an interval-censored dependent variable. In each time period, the researcher observes the... -
Bootstrap inference for impulse response functions in factor‐augmented vector...
In this study, we consider residual-based bootstrap methods to construct the confidence interval for structural impulse response functions in factor-augmented vector... -
The cyclicality of R&D investment revisited (replication data)
In Fabrizio and Tsolmon (Review of Economics and Statistics, 2014, 96(4), 662-675) and Barlevy (American Economic Review, 2007, 97(4), 1131-1164) it was concluded that R&D... -
An empirical investigation of direct and iterated multistep conditional forec...
When constructing unconditional point forecasts, both direct and iterated multistep (DMS and IMS) approaches are common. However, in the context of producing conditional... -
Steady‐state modeling and macroeconomic forecasting quality (replication data)
Vector autoregressions (VARs) with informative steady-state priors are standard forecasting tools in empirical macroeconomics. This study proposes (i) an adaptive hierarchical... -
CCE estimation of factor‐augmented regression models with more factors than o...
This paper considers estimation of factor-augmented panel data regression models. One of the most popular approaches towards this end is the common correlated effects (CCE)... -
Structural VARs and noninvertible macroeconomic models (replication data)
We resume the line of research pioneered by C. A. Sims and Zha (Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2006, 10, 231-272) and make two novel contributions. First, we provide a formal treatment... -
Selecting structural innovations in DSGE models (replication data)
Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models are typically estimated assuming the existence of certain structural shocks that drive macroeconomic fluctuations. We... -
Commodity prices and fiscal policy design: Procyclical despite a rule (replic...
Recent studies offer evidence of reduced fiscal procyclicality to commodity price changes in resource-rich countries-a feature commonly attributed to the adoption of fiscal... -
Normalized CES supply systems: Replication of Klump, McAdam, and Willman (200...
The analysis of Klump, McAdam, and Willman (Review of Economics and Statistics, 2007, 89, 183-192) is replicated using alternative software. Their results are verified... -
Binary response panel data models with sample selection and self‐selection (r...
We consider estimating binary response models on an unbalanced panel, where the outcome of the dependent variable may be missing due to nonrandom selection, or there is... -
Business, housing, and credit cycles (replication data)
We use multivariate unobserved components models to estimate trend and cyclical components in gross domestic product (GDP), credit volumes, and house prices for the USA and the...
