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Is euro area lowflation here to stay? Insights from a time‐varying parameter ...
We build a time-varying parameter model that jointly explains the dynamics of euro area inflation and inflation expectations. Our goal is to explain the weak inflation during... -
Unobserved components with stochastic volatility: Simulation‐based estimation...
The unobserved components time series model with stochastic volatility has gained much interest in econometrics, especially for the purpose of modelling and forecasting... -
A factor‐augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) approach for monetary policy...
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How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model‐based output gap estimat...
This paper illustrates, based on an example, the importance of consistency between empirical measurement and the concept of variables in estimated macroeconomic models. Since...