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Interpretation of point forecasts with unknown directive (replication data)
Point forecasts can be interpreted as functionals (i.e., point summaries) of predictive distributions. We extend methodology for the identification of the functional based on... -
Exogenous uncertainty and the identification of structural vector autoregress...
We provide necessary and sufficient conditions for the identification (point-identification) of structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) with external instruments considering... -
Understanding the economic determinants of the severity of operational losses...
We investigate a novel database of 10,217 extreme operational losses from the Italian bank UniCredit. Our goal is to shed light on the dependence between the severity... -
Exponent of Cross-Sectional Dependence: Estimation and Inference (replication...
This paper provides a characterisation of the degree of cross-sectional dependence in a two dimensional array, {xit,i = 1,2,...N;t = 1,2,...,T} in terms of the rate at which the... -
Estimating and Forecasting the Yield Curve Using A Markov Switching Dynamic N...
We estimate versions of the Nelson-Siegel model of the yield curve of US government bonds using a Markov switching latent variable model that allows for discrete changes in the...
