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DURATION DEPENDENCE VERSUS UNOBSERVED HETEROGENEITY IN TREATMENT EFFECTS: SWE...
The effect of a treatment on the hazard rate of a duration outcome may depend on the elapsed time since treatment. In addition, treatment effects may be heterogeneous across... -
VAR FORECASTING USING BAYESIAN VARIABLE SELECTION (replication data)
This paper develops methods for automatic selection of variables in Bayesian vector autoregressions (VARs) using the Gibbs sampler. In particular, I provide computationally... -
Forecasting with Medium and Large Bayesian VARS (replication data)
This paper is motivated by the recent interest in the use of Bayesian VARs for forecasting, even in cases where the number of dependent variables is large. In such cases factor... -
MEASURING THE EFFECT OF NAPSTER ON RECORDED MUSIC SALES: DIFFERENCE-IN-DIFFER...
This paper measures the effect of Napster on record sales. I treat the introduction of Napster as a technological event that only Internet users experienced, and use a... -
MULTIVARIATE METHODS FOR MONITORING STRUCTURAL CHANGE (replication data)
Detection of structural change is a critical empirical activity, but continuous monitoring for changes in real time raises well-known econometric issues that have been explored... -
WAS THE GOLD STANDARD REALLY DESTABILIZING? (replication data)
This paper investigates the extent to which the high macroeconomic volatility experienced in the classical Gold Standard era of US history can be attributed to the monetary... -
Did China diversify its foreign reserves? (replication data)
This paper takes a novel approach to detect the latent currency portfolio of Chinese foreign exchange reserves and the underlying portfolio management strategies during 2000 and... -
Estimation of dynamic panel data models with sample selection (replication data)
We propose a new method for estimating dynamic panel data models with selection. The method uses backward substitution for the lagged dependent variable, which leads to an... -
Stochastic search variable selection in vector error correction models with a...
This paper develops methods for stochastic search variable selection (currently popular with regression and vector autoregressive models) for vector error correction models... -
Investment decisions in manufacturing: assessing the effects of real oil pric...
We investigate the effects of real oil prices and their uncertainty on investment decisions. Making use of plant-level data, we estimate dynamic, discrete-choice models that... -
Panel data estimates of the production function and product and labor market ...
Consistent with two models of imperfect competition in the labor market-the efficient bargaining model and the monopsony model-we provide two extensions of a microeconomic... -
Narrow and scientific replication of ‘The slave trade and the origins of mist...
Nunn and Wantchekon (2011) argue that slave trades led to a culture of mistrust in Africa. They regress self-reported trust from the 2005 Afrobarometer surveys on... -
Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change (replication data)
The aim of this paper is to assess whether modeling structural change can help improving the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts. We conduct a simulated real-time out-of-sample... -
On the simultaneity problem in the aid and growth debate (replication data)
This paper shows that foreign aid has a significant positive average effect on real per capita gross domestic product (GDP) growth if, and only if, the quantitatively large...
