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Tests for equal forecast accuracy under heteroskedasticity (replication data)
This archive contains the replication files for "Tests for equal forecast accuracy under heteroskedasticity" by David Harvey, Stephen Leybourne and Yang Zu, in Journal of... -
The benefits of forecasting inflation with machine learning: New evidence (re...
This is the replication package for "The benefits of forecasting inflation with machine learning: New evidence" by A. Naghi, E. O'Neill, and M. Zaharieva, Journal of Applied... -
Nonlinearities in macroeconomic tail risk through the lens of big data quanti...
Modeling and predicting extreme movements in GDP is notoriously difficult and the selection of appropriate covariates and/or possible forms of nonlinearities are key in... -
Forecasting and stress testing with quantile vector autoregression (replicati...
Replication materials for "Forecasting and stress testing with quantile vector autoregression" by S. Chavleishvili and S. Manganelli, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2023,... -
Reassessing growth vulnerability (replication data)
This paper replicates the results of Adrian et al. (2019) that GDP growth volatility is mainly driven by the lower quantiles of the distribution which is predicted by the... -
Heterogeneous responses to corporate marginal tax rates: Evidence from small ...
Do small and large firms respond differently to tax cuts? Using new narrative measures of the exogenous variation in corporate marginal tax rates and a unique dataset of U.S.... -
Employment reconciliation and nowcasting (replication data)
We construct a latent employment estimate for the U.S. which both reconciles the information from separate payroll and household surveys, and incorporates the preliminary data... -
Exchange rates and macroeconomic fundamentals (replication data)
We examine the relationship between exchange rates and macroeconomic fundamentals using a two-step maximum likelihood estimator through which we compute time-varying factor... -
US Weekly Economic Index: Replication and extension (replication data)
Replication materials for "US Weekly Economic Index: Replication and extension", by Philipp Wegmueller and Christian Glocker, Journal of Applied Econometrics, forthcoming. -
Nowcasting from cross-sectionally dependent panels (replication data)
This archive contains the replication files. All codes and data are provided. There are three folders corresponding to the simulation study and two empirical applications of the... -
Subspace shrinkage in conjugate Bayesian vector autoregressions (replication ...
For the empirical exercise we use quarterly macroeconomic data for the US, obtained from the FRED-QD database (https://research.stlouisfed.org/econ/mccracken/fred-databases/).... -
Testing Investment Forecast Efficiency with Forecasting Narratives
I analyze the narratives that accompany business cycle forecasting reports of three German institutes using topic models. To this end, I gather multiple similar topics into... -
Should forecasters use real-time data to evaluate leading indicator models fo...
In this paper we investigate whether differences exist among forecasts using real-time or latest-available data to predict gross domestic product (GDP). We employ...
