-
A direct measure of subjective business uncertainty
We present an uncertainty measure that is based on a business survey in which uncertainty is captured directly by a qualitative question on subjective uncertainty regarding... -
A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany
From 2014 until present, housing prices in Germany have been rising faster than consumer prices in all quarters except one, raising concerns about an excessive overheating of... -
Should forecasters use real-time data to evaluate leading indicator models fo...
In this paper we investigate whether differences exist among forecasts using real-time or latest-available data to predict gross domestic product (GDP). We employ...
