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Après-ski: The Spread of Coronavirus from Ischgl through Germany
The Austrian ski resort of Ischgl is commonly claimed to be ground zero for the diffusion of the SARS-CoV-2 virus in the first wave of infections experienced by Germany. Drawing... -
Early prediction of university dropouts - a random forest approach
We predict university dropout using random forests based on conditional inference trees and on a broad German data set covering a wide range of aspects of student life and study... -
Using a Bayesian Structural Time–Series Model to Infer the Causal Impact on C...
The Bayesian structural time series model, used in conjunction with a state–space model, is a novel means of exploring the causal impact of a policy intervention. It extends the...
