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Does model complexity add value to asset allocation? Evidence from machine le...
This study evaluates the benefits of integrating return forecasts from a variety of machine learning and forecast combination methods into an out-of-sample asset allocation... -
(Un)expected monetary policy shocks and term premia (replication data)
The term structure of interest rates is crucial for the transmission of monetary policy to financial markets and the macroeconomy. Disentangling the impact of monetary policy on... -
Nonparametric tests of tail behavior in stochastic frontier models (replicati...
This article studies tail behavior for the error components in the stochastic frontier model, where one component has bounded support on one side, and the other has unbounded... -
Real estate agents influence on housing search (replication data)
This paper investigates different mechanisms for real estate agents? influence in housing search. Using residential listing data, I find descriptive evidence suggesting an... -
Large devaluations and inflation inequality: Replicating Cravino and Levchenk...
In the aftermath of large devaluations, prices of tradable goods/lower-priced varieties increase significantly more than the prices of nontradables/higher-priced varieties.... -
Common factors of commodity prices (replication data)
In this paper, we extract latent factors from a large cross-section of commodity prices, including fuel and non-fuel commodities. We decompose each commodity price series into a... -
Individual forecaster perceptions of the persistence of shocks to GDP (replic...
We analyse individual professional forecasters' beliefs concerning the persistence of GDP shocks. Despite substantial apparent heterogeneity in perceptions, with around one half... -
An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison (replicat...
It is well-known that the marginal likelihood, the gold standard for Bayesian model comparison, can be sensitive to prior hyperparameter choices. However, most models require... -
Expanding health insurance for the elderly of the Philippines (replication data)
This paper evaluates a Filipino policy that expanded health insurance coverage of its senior citizens, aged 60 and older, in 2014. We employ an instrumental variables estimator... -
A Bayesian approach to account for misclassification in prevalence and trend ...
In this paper, we present a Bayesian approach to estimate the mean of a binary variable and changes in the mean over time, when the variable is subject to misclassification... -
Information gains from using short‐dated options for measuring and forecastin...
We study the gains from using short-dated options for volatility measurement and forecasting. Using option portfolios, we estimate nonparametrically spot volatility under weak... -
Individual consumption in collective households: Identification using repeate...
Individual consumption is typically not observed for individuals living with others. Identification of individual resource shares from household expenditure data requires... -
The deposits channel revisited (replication data)
Drechsler et al. (2017) present a novel reformulation of the bank lending channel of monetary transmission based on market power in local deposits markets, which they term the... -
Dynamic treatment effects of job training (replication data)
This paper estimates the dynamic returns to job training. We posit a model of sequential training participation, where decisions and outcomes depend on observed and unobserved... -
Contagious switching (replication data)
We analyze the propagation of recessions across countries using a model with multiple qualitative state variables in a vector autoregression (VAR). The VAR may include... -
Dependence‐robust inference using resampled statistics (replication data)
We develop inference procedures robust to general forms of weak dependence. The procedures utilize test statistics constructed by resampling in a manner that does not depend on... -
Dynamic evaluation of job search assistance (replication data)
This paper evaluates a job search assistance program for unemployed teachers where the assignment to the program is dynamic. We discuss the methodology of estimating dynamic... -
Commodity prices and inflation risk (replication data)
This paper investigates the role of commodity price information when evaluating inflation risk. Using a model averaging approach, we provide strong evidence of in-sample and... -
Declining discount rates in Singapore's market for privately developed apartm...
Singapore's market for new privately developed apartments exhibits wide quasi-experimental variation in ownership tenure. We develop an empirical model in which prices are... -
Encompassing measures of international consumption risk sharing and their lin...
We investigate international consumption risk sharing in a panel of 15 industrial economies over the historical period 1875-2016. By considering a rich empirical...
