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Indirect inference with time series observed with error (replication data)
We propose the indirect inference estimator as a consistent method to estimate the parameters of a structural model when the observed series are contaminated by measurement... -
Testing the rationality of expectations of qualitative outcomes (replication ...
This article provides an adequate statistic for testing the rationality of point predictions of categorical outcomes under a subjective median or mode assumption. The test... -
Risk premia and seasonality in commodity futures (replication data)
We develop and estimate a multifactor affine model of commodity futures that allows for stochastic seasonality. We document the existence of stochastic seasonal fluctuations in... -
Understanding the economic determinants of the severity of operational losses...
We investigate a novel database of 10,217 extreme operational losses from the Italian bank UniCredit. Our goal is to shed light on the dependence between the severity... -
National natural rates of interest and the single monetary policy in the euro...
We estimate time-varying national natural real rates of interest (r?) for the four largest economies of the euro area over 1999-2016. We further derive the associated national... -
Testing for optimal monetary policy via moment inequalities (replication data)
The specification of an optimizing model of the monetary transmission mechanism requires selecting a policy regime: commonly, commitment or discretion. In this paper we propose... -
Half-panel jackknife fixed-effects estimation of linear panels with weakly ex...
This paper considers estimation and inference in linear panel regression models with lagged dependent variables and/or other weakly exogenous regressors when N (the... -
How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model‐based output gap estimat...
This paper illustrates, based on an example, the importance of consistency between empirical measurement and the concept of variables in estimated macroeconomic models. Since... -
Exploiting tail shape biases to discriminate between stable and student t alt...
The nonnormal stable laws and Student t distributions are used to model the unconditional distribution of financial asset returns, as both models display heavy tails. The... -
Ancestry and development: New evidence (replication data)
We revisit the relationship between ancestral distance and barriers to the diffusion of development by replicating previous results with a new genomic dataset on human... -
Structural estimation of behavioral heterogeneity (replication data)
We develop a behavioral asset pricing model in which agents trade in a market with information friction. Profit-maximizing agents switch between trading strategies in response... -
Dynamic factor model with infinite‐dimensional factor space: Forecasting (rep...
The paper compares the pseudo real-time forecasting performance of three dynamic factor models: (i) the standard principal component model introduced by Stock and Watson in... -
What are the macroeconomic effects of high‐frequency uncertainty shocks? (rep...
This paper evaluates the effects of high-frequency uncertainty shocks on a set of low-frequency macroeconomic variables representative of the US economy. Rather than estimating... -
Spillovers among sovereign debt markets: Identification through absolute magn...
This paper studies spillovers among US and European sovereign yields. We employ absolute magnitude restrictions on the impact matrix to identify the countries that were the main... -
UK term structure decompositions at the zero lower bound (replication data)
This paper employs a zero lower bound (ZLB) consistent shadow-rate model to decompose UK nominal yields into expectation and term premium components. Compared to a standard... -
Cyclicality in losses on bank loans (replication data)
Based on unique data we show that macro variables, the default rate and loss given default of bank loans share common cyclical components. The innovation in our model is the... -
Information shocks and the empirical evaluation of training programs during u...
We study the role of notifications in the evaluation of training programs for unemployed workers. Using a unique administrative data set containing the dates when information is... -
Exact computation of GMM estimators for instrumental variable quantile regres...
We show that the generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation problem in instrumental variable quantile regression (IVQR) models can be equivalently formulated as a... -
Bayesian model comparison for time‐varying parameter VARs with stochastic vol...
We develop importance sampling methods for computing two popular Bayesian model comparison criteria, namely, the marginal likelihood and the deviance information criterion (DIC)... -
Intergenerational mobility: New evidence from consumption data (replication d...
The intergenerational persistence of consumption describes the extent to which children inherit the living standards of their parents. Evidence on this parameter is scarce due...