-
Estimation of Poverty Transition Matrices with Noisy Data (replication data)
This paper investigates measurement error biases in estimated poverty transition matrices. We compare transition matrices based on survey expenditure data to transition matrices... -
How to Identify and Forecast Bull and Bear Markets? (replication data)
Because the state of the equity market is latent, several methods have been proposed to identify past and current states of the market and forecast future ones. These methods... -
Sharp IV Bounds on Average Treatment Effects on the Treated and Other Populat...
In the presence of an endogenous binary treatment and a valid binary instrument, causal effects are point identified only for the subpopulation of compliers, given that the... -
The Early Millennium Slowdown: Replicating the Peersman (2005) Results (repli...
This paper undertakes both a narrow and wide replication of the constant coefficients vector autoregression (VAR) identified with sign restrictions considered by Peersman... -
Forecasting Tail Risks (replication data)
This paper presents an early warning system as a set of multi-period forecasts of indicators of tail real and financial risks obtained using a large database of monthly US data... -
Anticipation, Tax Avoidance, and the Price Elasticity of Gasoline Demand (rep...
Least-squares estimates of the response of gasoline consumption to a change in the gasoline price are biased toward zero, given the endogeneity of gasoline prices. A seemingly... -
Average and Marginal Returns to Upper Secondary Schooling in Indonesia (repli...
This paper estimates average and marginal returns to schooling in Indonesia using a semiparametric selection model. Identification of the model is given by geographic variation... -
Modeling and Forecasting Large Realized Covariance Matrices and Portfolio Cho...
We consider modeling and forecasting large realized covariance matrices by penalized vector autoregressive models. We consider Lasso-type estimators to reduce the dimensionality... -
Replication of unconditional Quantile Regressions by Firpo, Fortin and Lemieu...
This paper is a narrow replication of Firpo, Fortin and Lemieux (Unconditional quantile regressions. Econometrica 2009; 77(3): 953-973), who propose a new estimation method,... -
Identification and Estimation of Online Price Competition With an Unknown Num...
This paper considers identification and estimation of a general model for online price competition. We show that when the number of competing firms is unknown the underlying... -
Time Variation in Macro-Financial Linkages (replication data)
We analyze the contribution of credit spread, house and stock price shocks to the US economy based on a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model. We find that the... -
Optimal Control of Heteroscedastic Macroeconomic Models (replication data)
This paper analyses the implications of heteroscedasticity for optimal macroeconomic policy and welfare. We find that changes in the variance structure driven by exogenous... -
Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Decision‐Based Model Combinations (replication...
We propose a density combination approach featuring combination weights that depend on the past forecast performance of the individual models entering the combination through a... -
Replicating the Results in ‘A New Model of Trend Inflation’ Using Particle Ma...
An article by Chan et al. (2013) published in the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics introduces a new model for trend inflation. They allow the trend inflation to... -
A Cost System Approach to the Stochastic Directional Technology Distance Func...
This paper offers a methodology to address the endogeneity of inputs in the directional technology distance function (DTDF)-based formulation of banking technology which... -
Noncausal Bayesian Vector Autoregression (replication data)
We consider Bayesian analysis of the noncausal vector autoregressive model that is capable of capturing nonlinearities and effects of missing variables. Specifically, we devise... -
Forecasting Consumption: the Role of Consumer Confidence in Real Time with ma...
We study the role of consumer confidence in forecasting real personal consumption expenditure, and contribute to the extant literature in three substantive ways. First, we... -
Mismatch Shocks and Unemployment During the Great Recession (replication data)
We investigate the macroeconomic consequences of fluctuations in the effectiveness of the labor market matching process with a focus on the Great Recession. We conduct our... -
Demographics and Business Cycle Volatility: A Spurious Relationship? (replica...
This paper replicates the estimation results of three studies on the impact of the age composition of the labor force on business cycle volatility and investigates whether they... -
Nonlinear Granger Causality: Guidelines for Multivariate Analysis (replicatio...
We propose an extension of the bivariate nonparametric Diks-Panchenko Granger non-causality test to multivariate settings. We first show that the asymptotic theory for the...