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Inferring the private information content of trades: a regime-switching appro...
This paper presents an empirical model for inferring the private information content of trades at the transaction level. The trade-indicator model of Glosten and Harris (1988)... -
A new coincident index of business cycles based on monthly and quarterly seri...
Popular monthly coincident indices of business cycles, e.g. the composite index and the Stock-Watson coincident index, have two shortcomings. First, they ignore information... -
Quasi-rational andex ante price expectations in commodity supply models: an e...
A statistically optimal inference about agents' ex ante price expectations within the US broiler market is derived using futures prices of related commodities along with a... -
Testing long-run PPP with infinite-variance returns (replication data)
This paper investigates the long-run purchasing power parity hypothesis when exchange rate returns and inflation rates are assumed to be heavy-tailed stochastic processes. More... -
Evaluating interval forecasts of high-frequency financial data (replication d...
A number of methods of evaluating the validity of interval forecasts of financial data are analysed, and illustrated using intraday FTSE100 index futures returns. Some existing... -
A finite-sample hierarchical analysis of wage variation across public high sc...
Using data from both the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY) and High School and Beyond (HSB), we investigate if public high schools differ in the production of... -
Party loyalty as habit formation (replication data)
In most democracies, at least two out of any three individuals vote for the same party in sequential elections. This paper presents a model in which vote-persistence is partly... -
On detrending and cyclical asymmetry (replication data)
This paper considers the issue of testing for symmetry of the business cycle. It is demonstrated that findings of symmetry should be interpreted with caution since tests tend to... -
Estimation of sons' intergenerational earnings mobility in the presence of ce...
Based on intergenerational data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, I provide estimates of income mobility across generations for men. Special attention is paid to issues... -
Identification and estimation of a class of household production models (repl...
We consider a class of household production models characterized by a dichotomy property. In these models the amount of time spent on household production does not depend on the... -
Retesting Fair's (1978) model on infidelity (replication data)
Modern econometrics stresses the diagnostic testing of estimated models as an important part of the model-building process. In a survey article published in this journal (Pagan... -
A rational rank four demand system (replication data)
Past parametric tests of demand system rank employed polynomial Engel curve systems. However, by Gorman's (1981) theorem, the maximum possible rank of a utility-derived... -
Individual heterogeneity and censoring in panel data estimates of tobacco exp...
A panel of households is used to test the rational addiction model of Becker et al. (1994). These data raise problems of measurement errors, censoring, and unobservable... -
Long-range dependence in Spanish political opinion poll series (replication d...
This paper investigates the time series properties of partisanship for five political parties in Spain. It is found that pure fractional processes with a degree of integration,... -
Time-varying intercepts and equilibrium analysis: an extension of the dynamic...
Demographic effects and user costs in demand systems have usually been modelled explicitly. A more robust approach is a state space formulation of the demand system, where... -
Asymmetry in first-price auctions with affiliated private values (replication...
Collusion and heterogeneity across firms may introduce asymmetry in bidding games. A major difficulty in asymmetric auctions is that the Bayesian Nash equilibrium strategies are... -
Evidence on agglomeration economies, diseconomies, and growth (replication data)
Conventional urban economic analysis suggests that a local economy's size is closely related to a number of features, including levels of human capital and the availability of... -
A structural model of aggregate US job flows: another look (replication data)
A recent article (Collard et al., 2002) published in this journal presented a structural model of aggregate job flows. Unrestricted estimation of the model yields parameter... -
A simple framework for analysing bull and bear markets (replication data)
Bull and bear markets are a common way of describing cycles in equity prices. To fully describe such cycles one would need to know the data generating process (DGP) for equity... -
Precautionary motives and portfolio decisions (replication data)
This paper studies the empirical relevance of precautionary and other motives for household portfolio behaviour using recent panel data from the Netherlands. Dutch households'...
