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An evaluation of the forecasts of the federal reserve: a pooled approach (rep...
The Federal Reserve Greenbook forecasts of real GDP, inflation and unemployment are analysed for the period 1974-1997. We consider whether these forecasts exhibit systematic... -
Validating multiple structural change models-a case study (replication data)
In a recent article, Bai and Perron (2003, Journal of Applied Econometrics) present a comprehensive discussion of computational aspects of multiple structural change models... -
A simple framework for analysing bull and bear markets (replication data)
Bull and bear markets are a common way of describing cycles in equity prices. To fully describe such cycles one would need to know the data generating process (DGP) for equity... -
Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models (replication data)
In a recent paper, Bai and Perron (1998) considered theoretical issues related to the limiting distribution of estimators and test statistics in the linear model with multiple... -
European integration and monetary transmission mechanisms: the case of Italy ...
The focus in this paper is on the monetary transmission mechanism in Italy and how it has changed with the increased independence of the Italian Central Bank and the... -
US deficit sustainability: a new approach based on multiple endogenous breaks...
Recent empirical work has questioned the consistency of US fiscal policy with an intertemporal budget constraint. Empirical results have tended to indicate that the deficit... -
Common cycles in seasonal non-stationary time series (replication data)
This paper extends the notion of common cycles to quarterly time series having unit roots both at the zero and seasonal frequencies. It is shown that common cycles are present... -
Erratum: The likelihood ratio test under nonstandard conditions: Testing the ...
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Modelling market fundamentals: A model of the aluminium market (replication d...
The standard approach to modelling primary commodity markets under rational expectations is to relate the commodity price to the production and consumption surprises (i.e. the... -
Forecasting in cointegrated systems (replication data)
We consider the implications for forecast accuracy of imposing unit roots and cointegrating restrictions in linear systems of I(1) variables in levels, differences, and...
