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A forecast comparison of volatility models: does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)? ...
We compare 330 ARCH-type models in terms of their ability to describe the conditional variance. The models are compared out-of-sample using DM?$ exchange rate data and IBM... -
Convergence in European GDP series: a multivariate common converging trend–cy...
Convergence in the gross domestic product series of five European countries is empirically identified using multivariate time series models that are based on unobserved...
