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Time Variation in Macro-Financial Linkages (replication data)
We analyze the contribution of credit spread, house and stock price shocks to the US economy based on a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model. We find that the... -
Growth Empirics in Panel Data Under Model Uncertainty and Weak Exogeneity (re...
This paper considers panel growth regressions in the presence of model uncertainty and reverse causality concerns. For this purpose, my econometric framework combines Bayesian... -
Growth Determinants Revisited Using Limited-Information Bayesian Model Averag...
We revisit the growth empirics debate using a novel limited-information Bayesian model averaging framework in short T panels that addresses model uncertainty, dynamics, and... -
Identification of Spatial Durbin Panel Models (replication data)
This paper considers identification of spatial Durbin dynamic panel models under 2SLS and ML estimations. We show that the parameters are generally identified via 2SLS moment... -
Extracting Nonlinear Signals from Several Economic Indicators (replication data)
We develop a twofold analysis of how the information provided by several economic indicators can be used in Markov switching dynamic factor models to identify the business cycle... -
Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth (replication data)
This paper studies the impact of the growth and volatility of commodity terms of trade (CToT) on economic growth, total factor productivity, physical capital accumulation and... -
On the simultaneity problem in the aid and growth debate (replication data)
This paper shows that foreign aid has a significant positive average effect on real per capita gross domestic product (GDP) growth if, and only if, the quantitatively large... -
Is God in the details? A reexamination of the role of religion in economic gr...
Barro and McCleary (2003, Religion and economic growth across countries. American Journal of Sociology 68: 760-781) is a key research contribution in the new literature... -
The impact of data revisions on the robustness of growth determinants-a note ...
Ciccone and Jaroci-ski (American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 2010; 2: 222-246) show that inference in Bayesian model averaging (BMA) can be highly sensitive to small data... -
On the effect of prior assumptions in Bayesian model averaging with applicati...
We consider the problem of variable selection in linear regression models. Bayesian model averaging has become an important tool in empirical settings with large numbers of... -
Jointness of growth determinants (replication data)
This paper introduces a new measure of dependence or jointness among explanatory variables. Jointness is based on the joint posterior distribution of variables over the model... -
Rough and lonely road to prosperity: a reexamination of the sources of growth...
This paper takes a fresh look at Africa's growth experience by using the Bayesian model averaging (BMA) methodology. BMA enables us to consider a large number of potential... -
Are output growth-rate distributions fat-tailed? some evidence from OECD coun...
This work explores some distributional properties of aggregate output growth-rate time series. We show that, in the majority of OECD countries, output growth-rate distributions... -
Bayesian counterfactual analysis of the sources of the great moderation (repl...
We use counterfactual experiments to investigate the sources of the large volatility reduction in US real GDP growth in the 1980s. Contrary to an existing literature that... -
Growth, technological interdependence and spatial externalities: theory and e...
This paper presents a theoretical growth model which explicitly takes into account technological interdependence among economies and examines the impact of spillover effects.... -
The role of environmental factors in growth accounting (replication data)
This paper explores a relatively new methodology, the directional distance function method, to analyse productivity growth. The method allows us to explicitly evaluate the role... -
The asymmetric effects of uncertainty on inflation and output growth (replica...
We study the effects of growth volatility and inflation volatility on average rates of output growth and inflation for post-war US data. Our results suggest that increased... -
Model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions (replication data)
We investigate the issue of model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA). We find that the posterior probability is spread widely... -
The non-linear dynamics of output and unemployment in the U.S. (replication d...
This paper studies the joint dynamics of U.S. output and unemployment rate in a non-linear VAR model. The non-linearity is introduced through a feedback variable that... -
Output and inflation in the long run (replication data)
Cross-country regressions explaining output growth often obtain a negative effect from inflation. However, that result is not robust, due to the selection of countries in...
