-
A factor‐augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) approach for monetary policy...
This dataset has no description
-
Estimating the U.S. output gap with state‐level data (replication data)
This paper develops a method to estimate the U.S. output gap by exploiting the cross-sectional variation of state-level output and unemployment rate data. The model assumes that... -
Measuring the natural rate of interest: A note on transitory shocks (replicat...
We present evidence that the natural rate of interest is buffeted by both permanent and transitory shocks. We establish this result by estimating a benchmark model with Bayesian... -
How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model‐based output gap estimat...
This paper illustrates, based on an example, the importance of consistency between empirical measurement and the concept of variables in estimated macroeconomic models. Since... -
Binary response panel data models with sample selection and self‐selection (r...
We consider estimating binary response models on an unbalanced panel, where the outcome of the dependent variable may be missing due to nonrandom selection, or there is... -
Measuring crisis risk using conditional copulas: An empirical analysis of the...
The shipping crisis starting in 2008 was characterized by sharply decreasing freight rates and sharply increasing financing costs. We analyze the dependence structure of these... -
Do contractionary monetary policy shocks expand shadow banking? (replication ...
Using VAR models for the USA, we find that a contractionary monetary policy shock has a persistent negative impact on the level of commercial bank assets, but increases the... -
Estimating global bank network connectedness (replication data)
We use LASSO methods to shrink, select, and estimate the high-dimensional network linking the publicly traded subset of the world's top 150 banks, 2003-2014. We characterize... -
Structural FECM: Cointegration in large‐scale structural FAVAR models (replic...
Starting from the dynamic factor model for nonstationary data we derive the factor-augmented error correction model (FECM) and its moving-average representation. The latter is... -
Credit Booms Gone Bust: Replication of Schularick and Taylor (AER 2012) (repl...
This paper replicates the results in Schularick and Taylor (American Economic Review 2012; 102(2): 1029-1061; ST hereafter). Specifically, I replicate ST's results in the narrow... -
Loan Supply Shocks and the Business Cycle (replication data)
This paper provides empirical evidence on the role played by loan supply shocks over the business cycle in the euro area, the UK and the USA from 1980 to 2011 by estimating... -
Narrow Replication of Fisman and Miguel's (2007a) ‘Corruption, Norms, and Leg...
This note provides a narrow replication of Fisman and Miguel's (Journal of Political Economy, 2007a; 115(6): 1020-1048) original findings about estimating negative binomial... -
Income and Democracy: A Smooth Varying Coefficient Redux (replication data)
Acemoglu et al. (American Economic Review 2008; 98: 808-842) find no effect of income on democracy when controlling for fixed effects in a dynamic panel model. Work by... -
The Early Millennium Slowdown: Replicating the Peersman (2005) Results (repli...
This paper undertakes both a narrow and wide replication of the constant coefficients vector autoregression (VAR) identified with sign restrictions considered by Peersman... -
Forecasting Tail Risks (replication data)
This paper presents an early warning system as a set of multi-period forecasts of indicators of tail real and financial risks obtained using a large database of monthly US data... -
Replicating the Results in ‘A New Model of Trend Inflation’ Using Particle Ma...
An article by Chan et al. (2013) published in the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics introduces a new model for trend inflation. They allow the trend inflation to... -
Accounting for the Political Uncertainty Factor (replication data)
We build our analysis upon previous work by Bloom et al. (Measuring the Effect of Political Uncertainty. Working Paper, Stanford University, 2012) and Baker et al. (Political... -
Identification and Estimation of Distributional Impacts of Interventions Usin...
This paper presents estimators of distributional impacts of interventions when selection to the program is based on observable characteristics. Distributional impacts are... -
What Drives Oil Prices? Emerging Versus Developed Economies (replication data)
We explore the role of demand from emerging and developed economies as drivers of the real price of oil. Using a FAVAR model that identifies shocks from different regions of the... -
The Contribution of Structural Break Models to Forecasting Macroeconomic Seri...
This paper compares the forecasting performance of models that have been proposed for forecasting in the presence of structural breaks. They differ in their treatment of the...
