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The Contribution of Structural Break Models to Forecasting Macroeconomic Seri...
This paper compares the forecasting performance of models that have been proposed for forecasting in the presence of structural breaks. They differ in their treatment of the... -
POSTERIOR‐PREDICTIVE EVIDENCE ON US INFLATION USING EXTENDED NEW KEYNESIAN PH...
Changing time series properties of US inflation and economic activity, measured as marginal costs, are modeled within a set of extended New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC)... -
Forecasting with Medium and Large Bayesian VARS (replication data)
This paper is motivated by the recent interest in the use of Bayesian VARs for forecasting, even in cases where the number of dependent variables is large. In such cases factor... -
An alternative measure of intergenerational income mobility based on a random...
We propose an alternative measure of the degree to which income status is transmitted from one generation to another. Our indicator of intergenerational income mobility is based... -
Multivariate high-frequency-based volatility (HEAVY) models (replication data)
This paper introduces a new class of multivariate volatility models that utilizes high-frequency data. We discuss the models' dynamics and highlight their differences from... -
The impact of data revisions on the robustness of growth determinants-a note ...
Ciccone and Jaroci-ski (American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 2010; 2: 222-246) show that inference in Bayesian model averaging (BMA) can be highly sensitive to small data... -
Estimation of sample selection models with spatial dependence (replication data)
We consider the estimation of a sample selection model that exhibits spatial autoregressive errors (SAE). Our methodology is motivated by a two-step strategy where in the first... -
Stochastic monotonicity in intergenerational mobility tables (replication data)
The aim of this paper is to test for stochastic monotonicity in intergenerational socio-economic mobility tables. In other words, we question whether having a parent from a high... -
Measuring and interpreting expectations of equity returns (replication data)
We analyze probabilistic expectations of equity returns elicited in the Survey of Economic Expectations in 1999-2001 and in the Michigan Survey of Consumers in 2002-2004. Our... -
Mixed logit models: accuracy and software choice (replication data)
This dataset has no description
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Long-run relations in European electricity prices (replication data)
This paper analyses the interdependencies existing in wholesale electricity prices in six major European countries. The results of a robust multivariate long-run dynamic... -
Continuous-time models, realized volatilities, and testable distributional im...
We provide an empirical framework for assessing the distributional properties of daily speculative returns within the context of the continuous-time jump diffusion models... -
Large Bayesian vector auto regressions (replication data)
This paper shows that vector auto regression (VAR) with Bayesian shrinkage is an appropriate tool for large dynamic models. We build on the results of De Mol and co-workers... -
Semi-nonparametric competing risks analysis of recidivism (replication data)
In this paper we specify a semi-nonparametric competing risks (SNP-CR) model of recidivism, for misdemeanors and felonies. The model is a bivariate mixed proportional hazard... -
Unemployment and liquidity constraints (replication data)
We present a dynamic framework for the interaction between borrowing (liquidity) constraints and deviations of actual hours from desired hours, both measured by discrete-valued... -
Local Fiscal Equity in the USA (replication data)
Unlike many other countries, the United States does not have a comprehensive federal transfer scheme for explicit fiscal equalization but rather employs an array of categorical... -
Does Variable Shiftwork Explain Away Productivity Shocks? A Bayesian Approach...
MacroconomicData.csv - contains relevant US macro data capitalparameters.csv, finalgoodparameters.csv, laborparameters.csv, oneshiftparameters.csv - contain the parameter... -
The Macroeconomic Determinants of House Prices and Rents
Based on panel error correction models for a sample of up to 21 countries this paper analyses the macroeconomic determinants of house prices and rents. In accordance with the... -
Projecting the Spread of COVID19 for Germany
We model the evolution of the number of individuals reported sick with COVID-19 in Germany. Our theoretical framework builds on a continuous time Markov chain with four states:... -
Real and Financial cycles in euro area economies: results from wavelet analys...
Data set and Matlab codes to accompany M. Scharnagl and M. Mandler, "Real and Financial cycles in euro area economies: results from wavelet analysis", Journal of Economics and...