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(Un)expected monetary policy shocks and term premia (replication data)
The term structure of interest rates is crucial for the transmission of monetary policy to financial markets and the macroeconomy. Disentangling the impact of monetary policy on... -
Real estate agents influence on housing search (replication data)
This paper investigates different mechanisms for real estate agents? influence in housing search. Using residential listing data, I find descriptive evidence suggesting an... -
Combining shrinkage and sparsity in conjugate vector autoregressive models (r...
Conjugate priors allow for fast inference in large dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models. But at the same time, they introduce the restriction that each equation... -
Estimation of average treatment effects using panel data when treatment effec...
This paper proposes a new panel data approach to identify and estimate the time-varying average treatment effect (ATE). The approach allows for treatment effect heterogeneity... -
Mixed causal–noncausal autoregressions with exogenous regressors (replication...
Mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive (MAR) models have been proposed to model time series exhibiting nonlinear dynamics. Possible exogenous regressors are typically substituted... -
Common correlated effects estimation of heterogeneous dynamic panel quantile ...
This paper proposes a quantile regression estimator for a heterogeneous panel model with lagged dependent variables and interactive effects. The paper adopts the Common... -
Assessing international commonality in macroeconomic uncertainty and its effe...
This paper uses a large vector autoregression to measure international macroeconomic uncertainty and its effects on major economies. We provide evidence of significant... -
Systemic risk and bank business models (replication data)
In this paper, we decompose banks' systemic risk into two dimensions: the risk of a bank (?bank tail risk?) and the link of the bank to the system in financial distress... -
Measuring the natural rate of interest: A note on transitory shocks (replicat...
We present evidence that the natural rate of interest is buffeted by both permanent and transitory shocks. We establish this result by estimating a benchmark model with Bayesian... -
Real‐time forecast combinations for the oil price (replication data)
Baumeister and Kilian (Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 2015, 33(3), 338-351) combine forecasts from six empirical models to predict real oil prices. In this paper,... -
Policy uncertainty and aggregate fluctuations (replication data)
This paper estimates the impact on the US economy of four types of uncertainty about (i) government spending, (ii) tax changes, (iii) public debt, and (iv) monetary policy.... -
A generalized focused information criterion for GMM (replication data)
This paper proposes a criterion for simultaneous generalized method of moments model and moment selection: the generalized focused information criterion (GFIC). Rather than... -
Confronting Price Endogeneity in a Duration Model of Residential Subdivision ...
Spatial equilibrium implies that distant factors are correlated with local prices through market mechanisms. Using this logic, we develop a novel approach for handling price... -
Income and Democracy: A Smooth Varying Coefficient Redux (replication data)
Acemoglu et al. (American Economic Review 2008; 98: 808-842) find no effect of income on democracy when controlling for fixed effects in a dynamic panel model. Work by... -
The Millennium Peak in Club Convergence: A New Look at Distributional Changes...
This paper proposes an easy-to-use nonparametric indicator for club convergence, or convergence within clusters of countries: it measures whether the modes of the gross domestic... -
Weak and Strong Cross-Sectional Dependence: A Panel Data Analysis of Internat...
This paper provides an econometric examination of technological knowledge spillovers among countries by focusing on the issue of error cross-sectional dependence, particularly... -
Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, with Application...
This paper proposes a framework to implement regression-based tests of predictive ability in unstable environments, including, in particular, forecast unbiasedness and... -
On the Low-Frequency Relationship Between Public Deficits and Inflation (repl...
We estimate the low-frequency relationship between fiscal deficits and inflation and pay special attention to its potential time variation by estimating a time-varying vector... -
Identification and Estimation of Distributional Impacts of Interventions Usin...
This paper presents estimators of distributional impacts of interventions when selection to the program is based on observable characteristics. Distributional impacts are... -
POOLING VERSUS MODEL SELECTION FOR NOWCASTING GDP WITH MANY PREDICTORS: EMPIR...
This paper discusses pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with large datasets in the presence of model uncertainty. In practice, nowcasting a low-frequency variable...
