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Oil prices in the real economy (replication data)
Replication materials for "Oil prices in the real economy", by Haicheng Shu and Peter Spencer, Journal of Applied Econometrics, forthcoming. -
The Federal Reserve’s output gap: The unreliability of real-time reliability ...
Data Set and Online Appendix for: Josefine Quast and Maik H. Wolters, "The Federal Reserve’s Output Gap: The Unreliability of Real-Time Reliability Tests", Journal of Applied... -
Fiscal targets: A guide to forecasters? (replication data)
We formulate and estimate empirical models for a selection of EU countries (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Portugal and Ireland) to show that ex-ante government (consumption)... -
Is euro area lowflation here to stay? Insights from a time‐varying parameter ...
We build a time-varying parameter model that jointly explains the dynamics of euro area inflation and inflation expectations. Our goal is to explain the weak inflation during... -
Unobserved components with stochastic volatility: Simulation‐based estimation...
The unobserved components time series model with stochastic volatility has gained much interest in econometrics, especially for the purpose of modelling and forecasting... -
A factor‐augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) approach for monetary policy...
This dataset has no description
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How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model‐based output gap estimat...
This paper illustrates, based on an example, the importance of consistency between empirical measurement and the concept of variables in estimated macroeconomic models. Since... -
Loan Supply Shocks and the Business Cycle (replication data)
This paper provides empirical evidence on the role played by loan supply shocks over the business cycle in the euro area, the UK and the USA from 1980 to 2011 by estimating... -
Forecasting Tail Risks (replication data)
This paper presents an early warning system as a set of multi-period forecasts of indicators of tail real and financial risks obtained using a large database of monthly US data... -
Reanalyzing Zero Returns to Education in Germany (replication data)
Pischke and von Wachter (Review of Economics and Statistics 2008; 90(3): 592-598) find zero earnings returns to compulsory schooling in the basic school track in Germany. We... -
The Contribution of Structural Break Models to Forecasting Macroeconomic Seri...
This paper compares the forecasting performance of models that have been proposed for forecasting in the presence of structural breaks. They differ in their treatment of the... -
POSTERIOR‐PREDICTIVE EVIDENCE ON US INFLATION USING EXTENDED NEW KEYNESIAN PH...
Changing time series properties of US inflation and economic activity, measured as marginal costs, are modeled within a set of extended New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC)... -
Human Capital and Economic Growth in OECD Countries Revisited: Initial Stock ...
This dataset has no description
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Nudging Openly - An Experimental Analysis of Nudge Transparency in a Public G...
Around the world, policy makers and public authorities are increasingly turning to behaviorally informed interventions (“nudges”) in order to help tackle important contexts of... -
A county-level database on expellees in West Germany, 1939–1961
Between 1944–1950, almost eight million expellees arrived in West Germany. We introduce a rich county-level database on the expellees’ socio-economic situation in post-war... -
Working from home, wages, and regional inequality in the light of COVID-19”
The paper uses data from the BIBB/BAuA Employment Survey of the Working Population on Qualification and Working Conditions in Germany 2018, doi: 10.7803/501.18.1.1.10. The... -
Tetradas: Tonnage estimates of trade through the Danish Sound, 1670-1856 (Rep...
Tetradas documents the main results to date of an effort to convert ‘raw’ data in the electronic database of Sound Toll Registers Online (further: STRO, www.soundtoll.nl) for... -
Lifetime Cost of Living and Effective Prices: Theory and Evidence for Germany...
The files include two datasets and a readme-file -
Putting European Monetary Integration into a Historical Perspective - Replica...
This dataset provides the files required to reproduce the empirical part of Fendel/Frenkel, Putting European Monetary Integration into a Historical Perspective: Two Decades of... -
(Since When) Are East and West German Business Cycles Synchronised? - replica...
We analyze whether, and since when, East and West German business cycles are synchronised. We investigate real GDP, unemployment rates and survey data as business cycle...
