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The Contribution of Structural Break Models to Forecasting Macroeconomic Seri...
This paper compares the forecasting performance of models that have been proposed for forecasting in the presence of structural breaks. They differ in their treatment of the... -
A simple, flexible estimator for count and other ordered discrete data (repli...
This paper examines a flexible way to model empirically discrete data outcomes using hazard rate decompositions. It presents a general data-generating mechanism based on... -
A structural dynamic analysis of retirement behaviour in the Netherlands (rep...
This study focuses on determinants of elderly labour force participation and retirement decisions in the Netherlands. This is analysed by a dynamic programming model for the... -
On Markov error-correction models, with an application to stock prices and di...
This paper considers Markov error-correction (MEC) models in which deviations from the long-run equilibrium are characterized by different rates of adjustment. To motivate our... -
Time-varying intercepts and equilibrium analysis: an extension of the dynamic...
Demographic effects and user costs in demand systems have usually been modelled explicitly. A more robust approach is a state space formulation of the demand system, where... -
Another look at Swedish business cycles, 1861-1988 (replication data)
The linearity of nine long Swedish macroeconomic time series, whose business cycle properties were discussed by Englund, Persson, and Svensson (1992), is tested and rejected for...
