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The Contribution of Structural Break Models to Forecasting Macroeconomic Seri...
This paper compares the forecasting performance of models that have been proposed for forecasting in the presence of structural breaks. They differ in their treatment of the... -
A simple, flexible estimator for count and other ordered discrete data (repli...
This paper examines a flexible way to model empirically discrete data outcomes using hazard rate decompositions. It presents a general data-generating mechanism based on... -
On the effect of prior assumptions in Bayesian model averaging with applicati...
We consider the problem of variable selection in linear regression models. Bayesian model averaging has become an important tool in empirical settings with large numbers of... -
Feasible estimation of firm-specific allocative inefficiency through Bayesian...
Both the theoretical and empirical literature on the estimation of allocative and technical inefficiency has grown enormously. To minimize aggregation bias, ideally one should... -
Permanent vs transitory components and economic fundamentals (replication data)
Any non-stationary series can be decomposed into permanent (or trend) and transitory (or cycle) components. Typically some atheoretic pre-filtering procedure is applied to... -
The effects of the gender of children on expenditure patterns in rural China:...
We analyse expenditure patterns for rural China, focusing on differences between families with boys and girls. The sample includes more than 5000 nuclear families from 19... -
Quasi-rational andex ante price expectations in commodity supply models: an e...
A statistically optimal inference about agents' ex ante price expectations within the US broiler market is derived using futures prices of related commodities along with a... -
Censored latent effects autoregression, with an application to US unemploymen...
A model is proposed to describe observed asymmetries in postwar unemployment time series data. We assume that recession periods, when unemployment increases rapidly, correspond... -
Socio-economic distance and spatial patterns in unemployment (replication data)
This paper examines the spatial patterns of unemployment in Chicago between 1980 and 1990. We study unemployment clustering with respect to different social and economic... -
Trend-stationary GNP: evidence from a new exact pointwise most powerful invar...
There has been a substantial debate whether GNP has a unit root. However, statistical tests have had little success in distinguishing between unit-root and trend-reverting... -
Monetary policy analysis and inflation targeting in a small open economy: a V...
Empirical monetary policy research has increased in the last decade, possibly because deregulation and explicit monetary targets have made monetary policy issues more... -
The non-linear dynamics of output and unemployment in the U.S. (replication d...
This paper studies the joint dynamics of U.S. output and unemployment rate in a non-linear VAR model. The non-linearity is introduced through a feedback variable that... -
Incomplete information and the time series behaviour of consumption (replicat...
Pischke (1995) uses both microeconomic and macroeconomic US data to test the idea that, within an otherwise standard PIH framework, ignorance by agents of aggregate labour... -
Another look at Swedish business cycles, 1861-1988 (replication data)
The linearity of nine long Swedish macroeconomic time series, whose business cycle properties were discussed by Englund, Persson, and Svensson (1992), is tested and rejected for... -
Learning and decision costs in one-person games (replication data)
This paper reports the results of a two-part data analysis of learning in a repeated costly decision experiment. In the first part we test payoff dominance under the hypothesis... -
Robustness tests of the augmented Solow model (replication data)
This paper demonstrates some techniques for testing the robustness of cross-section and panel data regressions, and applies them to the influential augmented Solow growth model.... -
An analysis of technology, productivity, and regulatory distortion in the int...
The purpose of this paper is to provide the first comprehensive firm level analysis of cost structures and production in the interstate pipeline industry during the transition... -
An empirical application of stochastic volatility models (replication data)
This paper studies the empirical performance of stochastic volatility models for twenty years of weekly exchange rate data for four major currencies. We concentrate on the... -
Stochastic trends, deterministic trends, and business cycle turning points (r...
This study examines the relationship between specifications for long-run output patterns and specifications for business cycle dynamics. In an application to US GDP, it is found... -
Is there a unit root in the inflation rate? Evidence from sequential break an...
Using sequential trend break and panel data models, we investigate the unit root hypothesis for the inflation rates of thirteen OECD countries. With individual country tests, we...
