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Interpretation of point forecasts with unknown directive (replication data)
Point forecasts can be interpreted as functionals (i.e., point summaries) of predictive distributions. We extend methodology for the identification of the functional based on... -
Does global inflation help forecast inflation in industrialized countries? (r...
Ciccarelli and Mojon (CM; Review of Economics and Statistics, 2010, 92(3), 524-535) propose an inflation forecasting model incorporating a global inflation factor and show that... -
Tests of Predictive Ability for Vector Autoregressions Used for Conditional F...
Many forecasts are conditional in nature. For example, a number of central banks routinely report forecasts conditional on particular paths of policy instruments. Even though...
