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Censored latent effects autoregression, with an application to US unemploymen...
A model is proposed to describe observed asymmetries in postwar unemployment time series data. We assume that recession periods, when unemployment increases rapidly, correspond... -
Estimating shocks and impulse response functions (replication data)
This paper examines the issue of how to identify the shocks in a cointegrated VAR when the following assumptions are made: the variables can be classified as endogenous or... -
Keynesian impulses versus Solow residuals: identifying sources of business cy...
We employ a neoclassical business-cycle model to study two sources of business-cycle fluctuations: marginal efficiency of investment shocks, and total factor productivity... -
Unit roots in the presence of abrupt governmental interventions with an appli...
This paper considers econometric issues related to time-series data that have been subject to abrupt governmental interventions. The motivating example for this study is the... -
Identifying the source of dynamics in disaggregated import data (replication ...
This paper uses Kennan's (1988) model to separately identify supply-side and demand-side dynamics in US import data. Dynamics arise from both autocorrelated shocks to supply-... -
Persistence of shocks on seasonal processes (replication data)
The paper addresses the issue of measuring the persistence of shocks on seasonally integrated processes observed at quarterly intervals. We show that the amplitude of the...