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Differencing versus nondifferencing in factor‐based forecasting (replication ...
This paper studies performance of factor-based forecasts using differenced and nondifferenced data. Approximate variances of forecasting errors from the two forecasts are... -
Comparing predictive accuracy in small samples using fixed‐smoothing asymptot...
We consider fixed-smoothing asymptotics for the Diebold and Mariano (Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 1995, 13(3), 253-263) test of predictive accuracy. We show that... -
The shale revolution and shifting crude dynamics (replication data)
Oil price fluctuates in response to both demand and supply shocks. This paper proposes a new methodology that allows for timely identification of the shifting contribution from...
