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Interpretation of point forecasts with unknown directive (replication data)
Point forecasts can be interpreted as functionals (i.e., point summaries) of predictive distributions. We extend methodology for the identification of the functional based on... -
Direct and indirect effects of continuous treatments based on generalized pro...
This paper proposes semi- and nonparametric methods for disentangling the total causal effect of a continuous treatment on an outcome variable into its natural direct effect and... -
Endogeneity and non‐response bias in treatment evaluation – nonparametric ide...
This paper proposes a nonparametric method for evaluating treatment effects in the presence of both treatment endogeneity and attrition/non-response bias, based on two... -
Differences Between Classical and Bayesian Estimates for Mixed Logit Models: ...
The mixed logit model is widely used in applied econometrics. Researchers typically rely on the free choice between the classical and Bayesian estimation approach. However,... -
IDENTIFYING THE RESPONSE OF FERTILITY TO FINANCIAL INCENTIVES (replication data)
While using financial incentives to increase fertility has become relatively common, the effects of such policies are difficult to assess. We propose an identification strategy... -
Labor market entry and earnings dynamics: Bayesian inference using mixtures-o...
This paper analyzes patterns in the earnings development of young labor market entrants over their life cycle. We identify four distinctly different types of transition patterns... -
The impact of data revisions on the robustness of growth determinants-a note ...
Ciccone and Jaroci-ski (American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 2010; 2: 222-246) show that inference in Bayesian model averaging (BMA) can be highly sensitive to small data...
