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Climbing the drug staircase: a Bayesian analysis of the initiation of hard dr...
Since empirical studies have shown that cannabis users are much more likely to initiate hard drug use, a causal linkage has been suggested (?gateway hypothesis?). However,... -
Forecasting large datasets with Bayesian reduced rank multivariate models (re...
The paper addresses the issue of forecasting a large set of variables using multivariate models. In particular, we propose three alternative reduced rank forecasting models and...