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Simple Identification and Specification of Cointegrated Varma Models (replica...
We bring together some recent advances in the literature on vector autoregressive moving-average models, creating a simple specification and estimation strategy for the... -
Forecasting interest rates with shifting endpoints (replication data)
We consider forecasting the term structure of interest rates with the assumption that factors driving the yield curve are stationary around a slowly time-varying mean or... -
UNCOVERING THE COMMON RISK-FREE RATE IN THE EUROPEAN MONETARY UNION (replicat...
We introduce longitudinal factor analysis (LFA) to extract the common risk-free (CRF) rate from a sample of sovereign bonds of countries in a monetary union. Since LFA exploits... -
MODELLING LARGE OPEN ECONOMIES WITH INTERNATIONAL LINKAGES: THE USA AND EURO ...
Empirical modelling of the linkages between the euro area and the USA requires an open economy framework. The methodology proposed in this paper achieves identification of a... -
Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change (replication data)
The aim of this paper is to assess whether modeling structural change can help improving the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts. We conduct a simulated real-time out-of-sample... -
Modeling and forecasting short-term interest rates: The benefits of smooth re...
In this paper we propose a smooth transition tree model for both the conditional mean and variance of the short-term interest rate process. The estimation of such models is... -
An empirical analysis of nonstationarity in a panel of interest rates with fa...
This paper studies nonstationarities in a panel of Canadian and US interest rates of different maturities and risk. We focus on methods which model the cross-sectional... -
Nonlinear dynamics of interest rate and inflation (replication data)
According to several empirical studies US inflation and nominal interest rates as well as the real interest rate can be described as unit root processes. These results imply... -
How do changes in monetary policy affect bank lending? An analysis of Austria...
Using a panel of Austrian bank data we show that the lending decisions of the smallest banks are more sensitive to interest rate changes, and that for all banks, sensitivity... -
Money demand revisited: An operational subjective approach (replication data)
This paper proposes a method of data analysis founded on the philosophy and understanding of uncertain knowledge developed by Bruno de Finetti. Specifically, the paper...
