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Out-of-Sample Return Predictability: A Quantile Combination Approach (replica...
This paper develops a novel forecasting method that minimizes the effects of weak predictors and estimation errors on the accuracy of equity premium forecasts. The proposed... -
Time Variation in Macro-Financial Linkages (replication data)
We analyze the contribution of credit spread, house and stock price shocks to the US economy based on a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model. We find that the... -
Rethinking an old empirical puzzle: econometric evidence on the forward disco...
Using both semiparametric and parametric estimation methods, this paper corroborates earlier findings of fractionally integrated behaviour in the forward premium. Two new... -
Substitution, risk aversion, taste shocks and equity premia (replication data)
This paper gauges the relative contribution of risk aversion, inter-temporal substitution and taste shocks on postwar monthly US equity premia. The time-varying consumption,...
