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Testing Investment Forecast Efficiency with Forecasting Narratives
I analyze the narratives that accompany business cycle forecasting reports of three German institutes using topic models. To this end, I gather multiple similar topics into... -
The impact of forecast errors on fiscal planning and debt accumulation
We investigate the impact of errors in medium run tax revenue forecasts on the final budget balance. Our analysis is based on fiscal data for the entirety of German states and... -
The role of non-performing loans for bank lending rates (replication data)
The analysis considers the role of non-performing loans (NPLs) for bank lending rates on newly granted loans. It is based on euro area data. The focus is on an effect caused by...
