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STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION FOR LONG-TERM INVESTORS: PARAMETER UNCERTAINTY AND...
We study the effect of parameter uncertainty on the long-run risk for three asset classes: stocks, bills and bonds. Using a Bayesian vector autoregression with an uninformative... -
REAL-TIME FORECASTING OF INFLATION AND OUTPUT GROWTH WITH AUTOREGRESSIVE MODE...
We examine how the accuracy of real-time forecasts from models that include autoregressive terms can be improved by estimating the models on lightly revised data instead of... -
HOW PUZZLING IS THE PPP PUZZLE? AN ALTERNATIVE HALF-LIFE MEASURE OF CONVERGEN...
Evidence of lengthy half-lives for real exchange rates in the presence of a high degree of exchange rate volatility has been considered as one of the most puzzling empirical... -
Nonparametric estimation of the impact of taxes on female labor supply (repli...
This paper proposes a simple extension of nonparametric estimation methods for nonlinear budget-set models derived in Blomquist and Newey (2002) to censored dependent variables.... -
Estimation of nonlinear models with mismeasured regressors using marginal inf...
We consider the estimation of nonlinear models with mismeasured explanatory variables, when information on the marginal distribution of the true values of these variables is... -
Measuring and interpreting expectations of equity returns (replication data)
We analyze probabilistic expectations of equity returns elicited in the Survey of Economic Expectations in 1999-2001 and in the Michigan Survey of Consumers in 2002-2004. Our... -
Measuring the willingness to pay to avoid guilt: estimation using equilibrium...
We estimate structural models of guilt aversion to measure the population level of willingness to pay (WTP) to avoid feeling guilt by letting down another player. We compare... -
Semiparametric estimation of consumer demand systems in real expenditure (rep...
Microdata concerning consumer demand typically show considerable variation in real expenditures, but very little variation in prices. We propose a semiparametric strategy for... -
Unemployment and liquidity constraints (replication data)
We present a dynamic framework for the interaction between borrowing (liquidity) constraints and deviations of actual hours from desired hours, both measured by discrete-valued... -
Linear household technologies (replication data)
This paper discusses, estimates and formally compares the best known procedures for incorporating demographic variables into complete demand systems. In particular, a class of...
