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Intercept corrections and structural change (replication data)
Analyses of forecasting that assume a constant, time-invariant data generating process (DGP), and so implicitly rule out structural change or regime shifts in the economy,... -
Applied cointegration analysis in the mirror of macroeconomic theory (replica...
Cointegration analyses of macroeconomic time series are often not based on fully specified theoretical models. We use a theoretical model to scrutinize common procedures in... -
Persistence of shocks on seasonal processes (replication data)
The paper addresses the issue of measuring the persistence of shocks on seasonally integrated processes observed at quarterly intervals. We show that the amplitude of the... -
The inconsistency of common scale estimators when output prices are unobserve...
This paper explores the inconsistency of common scale estimators when output is proxied by deflated sales, based on a common output deflator across firms. The problem arises... -
Credit rationing and threshold effects in the relation between money and outp...
The possibility that the effect of monetary policy on output may depend on whether credit conditions are tight or loose can be expressed as a non-linearity in the relation... -
Analytic derivatives and the computation of GARCH estimates (replication data)
In the context of univariate GARCH models we show how analytic first and second derivatives of the log-likelihood can be successfully employed for estimation purposes. Maximum... -
Computing median unbiased estimates in macroeconometric models (replication d...
A stochastic simulation procedure is proposed in this paper for obtaining median unbiased (MU) estimates in macroeconometric models. MU estimates are computed for lagged... -
Regime switching as a test for exchange rate bubbles (replication data)
This paper develops a new test for speculative bubbles, which is applied to data for the Japanese yen, the German mark and the Canadian dollar exchange rates from 1977 to 1991.... -
Occupational pensions and job mobility in Britain: Estimation of a random-eff...
We analyse transitions between pensionable jobs, non-pensionable jobs, and other labour market states, using the 1988/9 UK Retirement Survey. We focus on the positive... -
On a double-threshold autoregressive heteroscedastic time series model (repli...
Tong's threshold models have been found useful in modelling nonlinearities in the conditional mean of a time series. The threshold model is extended to the so-called... -
Parametric and semi-parametric estimation of the binary response model of lab...
This paper compares the familiar probit model with three semiparametric estimators of binary response models in an application to labour market participation of married women.... -
The excess co-movement of commodity prices reconsidered (replication data)
This paper provides an empirical reconsideration of evidence for excess co-movement of commodity prices within the framework of univariate and multivariate GARCH(1, 1) models.... -
Panel Estimates of a Two-Tiered Earnings Frontier (replication data)
This paper uses panel data to estimate a two-tiered instead of a one-tiered frontier model. The innovation is to develop a two-step maximum likelihood procedure yielding... -
Incorporating monotonicity and concavity conditions in flexible functional fo...
Empirical economists using flexible functional forms often face the disturbing choice of drawing inferences from an approximation violating properties dictated by theory or... -
Erratum: The likelihood ratio test under nonstandard conditions: Testing the ...
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Measuring underlying economic activity (replication data)
Recently, interest in the methodology of constructing coincident economic indicators has been revived by the work of Stock and Watson (1989b). They adopt the framework of the... -
A time series analysis of real wages, consumption and asset returns (replicat...
This paper re-examines whether the time series properties of aggregate consumption, real wages, and asset returns can be explained by a neoclassical model. Previous empirical... -
Money demand revisited: An operational subjective approach (replication data)
This paper proposes a method of data analysis founded on the philosophy and understanding of uncertain knowledge developed by Bruno de Finetti. Specifically, the paper... -
Robust tests of forward exchange market efficiency with empirical evidence fr...
This paper provides a robust statistical approach to testing the unbiasedness hypothesis in forward exchange market efficiency studies. The methods we use allow us to work... -
Parametric and semi-parametric modelling of vacation expenditures (replicatio...
We analyse several limited dependent variable models explaining the budget share that Dutch families spend on vacations. To take account of the substantial number of zero...
