-
Extracting Nonlinear Signals from Several Economic Indicators (replication data)
We develop a twofold analysis of how the information provided by several economic indicators can be used in Markov switching dynamic factor models to identify the business cycle... -
Sparse Partial Least Squares in Time Series for Macroeconomic Forecasting (re...
Factor models have been applied extensively for forecasting when high-dimensional datasets are available. In this case, the number of variables can be very large. For instance,... -
The Contribution of Structural Break Models to Forecasting Macroeconomic Seri...
This paper compares the forecasting performance of models that have been proposed for forecasting in the presence of structural breaks. They differ in their treatment of the... -
Is infrastructure capital productive? A dynamic heterogeneous approach (repli...
This paper offers an evaluation of the output contribution of infrastructure. Using a panel time series approach and a large cross-country dataset, the paper estimates a... -
A Theoretical Foundation for the Nelson-Siegel Class of Yield Curve Models (r...
Yield curve models within the popular Nelson-Siegel class are shown to arise from formal low-order Taylor approximations of the generic Gaussian affine term structure model....