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Forecasting and stress testing with quantile vector autoregression (replicati...
Replication materials for "Forecasting and stress testing with quantile vector autoregression" by S. Chavleishvili and S. Manganelli, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2023,... -
Sectoral slowdowns in the UK: Evidence from transmission probabilities and ec...
This folder contains MATLAB and R software and data to accompany the paper "Sectoral slowdowns in the UK: Evidence from transmission probabilities and economic linkages" by... -
Reassessing growth vulnerability (replication data)
This paper replicates the results of Adrian et al. (2019) that GDP growth volatility is mainly driven by the lower quantiles of the distribution which is predicted by the... -
US Weekly Economic Index: Replication and extension (replication data)
Replication materials for "US Weekly Economic Index: Replication and extension", by Philipp Wegmueller and Christian Glocker, Journal of Applied Econometrics, forthcoming. -
Oil prices uncertainty, endogenous regime switching, and inflation anchoring ...
Data and code to replicate the results in "Oil prices uncertainty, endogenous regime switching, and inflation anchoring" -
The Federal Reserve’s output gap: The unreliability of real-time reliability ...
Data Set and Online Appendix for: Josefine Quast and Maik H. Wolters, "The Federal Reserve’s Output Gap: The Unreliability of Real-Time Reliability Tests", Journal of Applied... -
Extreme weather events and economic activity: The case of low water levels on...
We make use of historical data on water levels on the Rhine river to analyze the impact of weather-related supply shocks on economic activity in Germany. Our analysis shows that... -
Inflation Expectations and Nonlinearities in the Phillips Curve (replication ...
The files submitted are the codes and data for the Journal of Applied Econometrics article “Inflation Expectations and Nonlinearities in the Phillips Curve” by Alexander Doser,... -
Global Financial Uncertainty (replication data)
Giovanni Caggiano and Efrem Castelnuovo's "Global Financial Uncertainty" dataset. It contains: i) the monthly volatility data used to estimate our global, region, and... -
Does Variable Shiftwork Explain Away Productivity Shocks? A Bayesian Approach...
MacroconomicData.csv - contains relevant US macro data capitalparameters.csv, finalgoodparameters.csv, laborparameters.csv, oneshiftparameters.csv - contain the parameter... -
Too Much of a Good Thing? Households’ Macroeconomic Conditions and Credit Dyn...
Favorable macroeconomic conditions, accompanied by optimistic consumer confidence, can stimulate and shape households' expectations in such a way that they gradually extrapolate... -
Sudden Stop: When Did Firms Anticipate the Potential Consequences of COVID-19?
COVID-19 hit firms by surprise. In a high frequency, representative panel of German firms, the business outlook declined and business uncertainty increased only at the time when... -
A direct measure of subjective business uncertainty
We present an uncertainty measure that is based on a business survey in which uncertainty is captured directly by a qualitative question on subjective uncertainty regarding... -
Parity Funding of Health Care Contributions in Germany: A DSGE Perspective
Germany reintroduced parity funding of the statutory health insurance scheme in January 2019 by lowering the contribution rates for employees and raising those for employers,... -
(Since When) Are East and West German Business Cycles Synchronised? - replica...
We analyze whether, and since when, East and West German business cycles are synchronised. We investigate real GDP, unemployment rates and survey data as business cycle... -
Real and Financial cycles in euro area economies: results from wavelet analys...
Data set and Matlab codes to accompany M. Scharnagl and M. Mandler, "Real and Financial cycles in euro area economies: results from wavelet analysis", Journal of Economics and... -
Economic Policy Uncertainty in the Euro Area: Cross-Country Spillovers and Ma...
This package contains the program codes and data files necessary to replicate the results of the spillover analysis in Economic Policy Uncertainty in the Euro Area:... -
A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany
From 2014 until present, housing prices in Germany have been rising faster than consumer prices in all quarters except one, raising concerns about an excessive overheating of... -
Thoughts on a Fiscal Union in EMU
Using an estimated large-scale New-Keynesian model, we assess the consequences of introducing a fiscal union within EMU. We differentiate between three different scenarios:...
