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Analyzing credit risk transmission to the nonfinancial sector in Europe: A ne...
We use a factor model and elastic net shrinkage to model a high-dimensional network of European credit default swap (CDS) spreads. Our empirical approach allows us to assess the... -
Two are better than one: Volatility forecasting using multiplicative componen...
We examine the properties and forecast performance of multiplicative volatility specifications that belong to the class of generalized autoregressive conditional... -
Introducing the Bank of Canada staff economic projections database (replicati...
We present a new, publicly available database of real-time data and forecasts from the Bank of Canada's staff economic projections, which will be updated on an annual basis. We... -
Endogenous censoring in the mixed proportional hazard model with an applicati...
We examine the sensitivity of estimates of the MPH model with respect to assumptions on the censoring mechanism in the context of an economic model of optimal unemployment... -
Extreme returns and intensity of trading (replication data)
Asymmetric information models of market microstructure claim that variables such as trading intensity are proxies for latent information on the value of financial assets. We... -
Macroeconomic forecast accuracy in a data‐rich environment (replication data)
The performance of six classes of models in forecasting different types of economic series is evaluated in an extensive pseudo out-of-sample exercise. One of these forecasting... -
Large time‐varying parameter VARs: A nonparametric approach (replication data)
In this paper we introduce a nonparametric estimation method for a large Vector Autoregression (VAR) with time-varying parameters. The estimators and their asymptotic... -
Likelihood evaluation of models with occasionally binding constraints (replic...
Applied researchers interested in estimating key parameters of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models face an array of choices regarding numerical solution and estimation... -
Measurement error in discrete health facility choice models: An example from ...
We use individual-level health facility choice data from urban Senegal to estimate consumer preferences for facility characteristics related to maternal health services. We find... -
Decomposing the effects of monetary policy using an external instruments SVAR...
We study the effects of monetary policy on economic activity separately identifying the effects of a conventional change in the fed funds rate from the policy of forward... -
Hidden group patterns in democracy developments: Bayesian inference for group...
We propose a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimate time-varying grouped patterns of heterogeneity in linear panel data models. Unlike the classical approach in Bonhomme... -
Estimation in a generalization of bivariate probit models with dummy endogeno...
The purpose of this paper is to provide guidelines for empirical researchers who use a class of bivariate threshold crossing models with dummy endogenous variables. A common... -
Two applications of wild bootstrap methods to improve inference in cluster‐IV...
Microeconomic data often have within-cluster dependence, which affects standard error estimation and inference. When the number of clusters is small, asymptotic tests can be... -
Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty (replication data)
We assess whether the effects of fiscal policy depend on the extent of uncertainty in the economy. Focusing on tax shocks, identified by the narrative series by Romer and Romer... -
Structural changes in heterogeneous panels with endogenous regressors (replic...
This paper extends Pesaran's (Econometrica, 2006, 74, 967-1012) common correlated effects (CCE) by allowing for endogenous regressors in large heterogeneous panels with unknown... -
Exogenous uncertainty and the identification of structural vector autoregress...
We provide necessary and sufficient conditions for the identification (point-identification) of structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) with external instruments considering... -
Measuring mortgage credit availability: A frontier estimation approach (repli...
We construct a new measure of mortgage credit availability using a technique developed for production frontier estimation. The resulting loan frontier describes the maximum... -
Mostly harmless simulations? Using Monte Carlo studies for estimator selectio...
We consider two recent suggestions for how to perform an empirically motivated Monte Carlo study to help select a treatment effect estimator under unconfoundedness. We show... -
CCE in fixed‐T panels (replication data)
The presence of unobserved heterogeneity and its likely detrimental effect on inference has recently motivated the use of factor-augmented panel regression models. The workhorse... -
To pool or not to pool: What is a good strategy for parameter estimation and ...
This paper considers estimating the slope parameters and forecasting in potentially heterogeneous panel data regressions with a long time dimension. We propose a novel optimal...