Christian Gillitzer
;
Martin McCarthy
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does global inflation help forecast inflation in industrialized countries? (replication data)

Ciccarelli and Mojon (CM; Review of Economics and Statistics, 2010, 92(3), 524-535) propose an inflation forecasting model incorporating a global inflation factor and show that it consistently beats several standard forecasting benchmarks. We show that CM's global inflation model does not improve upon the Atkeson and Ohanian (AO; Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 2001, 25(1), 2-11) naive benchmark. However, we find that augmenting the AO model with a global inflation factor improves forecast accuracy at longer horizons, supporting CM's claim about the usefulness of global inflation.

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Suggested Citation

Gillitzer, Christian; McCarthy, Martin (2019): Does global inflation help forecast inflation in industrialized countries? (replication data). Version: 1. Journal of Applied Econometrics. Dataset. https://journaldata.zbw.eu/dataset/does-global-inflation-help-forecast-inflation-in-industrialized-countries?activity_id=b13ea39e-a99d-457d-8b26-a2e8631e4040