Daniel Borup
Jorge Wolfgang Hansen
Benjamin Liengaard
Erik Christian Montes Schütte

quantifying investor narratives and their role during covid-19 (replication files)

This paper elicits and quantifies narratives from open-ended surveys sent daily to U.S. stockholders during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. Using textual analysis, we extract thirteen narratives and measure their prevalence over time. A validation analysis confirms the behavioral and economic relevance of the retrieved narratives. Moreover, we find that the narratives contain predictive information for future excess stock and bond returns, and this predictability remains when controlling for contemporaneous information stemming from news and social media. Finally, we find evidence that political identity is reflected in the narrative tone.

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Suggested Citation

Borup, Daniel; Hansen, Jorge Wolfgang; Liengaard, Benjamin; Montes Schütte, Erik Christian (2023): Quantifying investor narratives and their role during COVID-19 (replication files). Version: 1. Journal of Applied Econometrics. Dataset. http://dx.doi.org/10.15456/jae.2023027.1311860033

JEL Codes