Michael C. Burda
Wolfgang Karl Härdle
Marlene Müller
Axel Werwatz

semiparametric analysis of german east-west migration intentions: facts and theory (replication data)

East-West migration in Germany peaked at the beginning of the 1990s although the average wage gap between Eastern and Western Germany continues to average about 25%. We analyse the propensity to migrate using microdata from the German Socioeconomic Panel. Fitting a parametric Generalized Linear Model (GLM) yields non-linear residual behavior. This finding is not compatible with classical Marshallian theory of migration and motivates the semiparametric analysis. We estimate a Generalized Partial Linear Model (GPLM) where some components of the index of explanatory variables enter non-parametrically. We find the estimate of the non-parametric influence in concordance with a number of alternative migration theories, including the recently proposed option-value-of-waiting theory.

Data and Resources

Suggested Citation

Burda, Michael C.; Härdle, Wolfgang Karl; Müller, Marlene; Werwatz, Axel (1998): Semiparametric analysis of German East-West migration intentions: facts and theory (replication data). Version: 1. Journal of Applied Econometrics. Dataset. http://dx.doi.org/10.15456/jae.2022314.0706500682