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Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions (replication data)
This paper presents a new nonlinear time series model that captures a post-recession bounce-back in the level of aggregate output. While a number of studies have examined this... -
Comparing SVARs and SEMs: two models of the UK economy (replication data)
The structural vector autoregression (SVAR) and simultaneous equation macroeconometric model (SEM) styles of empirical macroeconomic modelling are compared and contrasted, with... -
A suggested framework for classifying the modes of cycle research (replicatio...
The paper argues that it is important to realize that the concept of a cycle has rarely been precisely articulated in empirical work and that often researchers are using very... -
Convergence in the trends and cycles of Euro-zone income (replication data)
Multivariate unobserved components (structural) time series models are fitted to annual post-war observations on real income per capita in countries in the Euro-zone. The aim is... -
The transmission of US shocks to Latin America (replication data)
I study whether and how US shocks are transmitted to eight Latin American countries. US shocks are identified using sign restrictions and treated as exogenous with respect to... -
Monitoring structural change in dynamic econometric models (replication data)
The classical approach to testing for structural change employs retrospective tests using a historical data set of a given length. Here we consider a wide array of... -
Simple solutions to the initial conditions problem in dynamic, nonlinear pane...
I study a simple, widely applicable approach to handling the initial conditions problem in dynamic, nonlinear unobserved effects models. Rather than attempting to obtain the... -
Evidence on purchasing power parity from univariate models: the case of smoot...
Recent research has found that trend-break unit root tests derived from univariate linear models do not support the hypothesis of long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) for US... -
Robust inference concerning recent trends in US environmental quality (replic...
Understanding trends in environmental quality is important for individuals and policymakers. Typically, trends in environmental quality are determined solely through comparisons... -
An algorithm to reduce the occupational space in gender segregation studies (...
This paper presents an algorithm based on the bootstrap to select an admissible aggregation level, that is, the minimum number of occupational categories that yield a gender... -
Duration dependence in the exit rate out of unemployment in Belgium. Is it tr...
On the basis of aggregate data for the early 1990s, we analyse the determinants of unemployment duration for laid-off male workers in Wallonia (Belgium). Our results indicate... -
Understanding the Fisher equation (replication data)
It is argued that univariate long memory estimates based on ex post data tend to underestimate the persistence of ex ante variables (and, hence, that of the ex post variables... -
Measurement of industry conduct with a latent structure (replication data)
Empirical industrial organization economists have long been concerned with measuring the degree of competition in markets and understanding its underlying determinants, but they... -
Learning about heterogeneity in returns to schooling (replication data)
Using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY) we introduce and estimate various Bayesian hierarchical models that investigate the nature of unobserved... -
Dynamics of the federal funds target rate: a nonstationary discrete choice ap...
We apply a discrete choice approach to model the empirical behaviour of the Federal Reserve in changing the federal funds target rate, the benchmark of short-term market... -
A general test for time dependence in parameters (replication data)
A new test for time-dependent parameters is proposed. The Trig-test is based on a trigonometric expansion to approximate the unknown functional form of the variation in the... -
Reporting sick: are sporting events contagious? (replication data)
Moral hazard is easy to justify theoretically but difficult to detect empirically. Individuals may report sick due to illness as well as for moral hazard reasons. Potential... -
Retirement behaviour of Dutch elderly households (replication data)
We specify and estimate retirement models for singles and married couples and estimate these on data from the Dutch Socio-Economic Panel. We perform some simulations and find... -
A dynamic programming approach to model the retirement behaviour of blue-coll...
This paper presents an empirical analysis of how Sweden's public old age pension system affects the retirement decision. We focus on male blue-collar workers whose dominant... -
The effects of subjective survival on retirement and Social Security claiming...
According to the life-cycle model, mortality risk will influence both retirement and the desire to annuitize wealth. We estimate the effect of subjective survival probabilities...
