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Bayes model averaging of cyclical decompositions in economic time series (rep...
A flexible decomposition of a time series into stochastic cycles under possible non-stationarity is specified, providing both a useful data analysis tool and a very wide model... -
A bivariate count data model for household tourism demand (replication data)
Households' choice of the number of leisure trips and the total number of overnight stays is empirically studied using Swedish tourism data. A bivariate hurdle approach... -
Job separation in a non-stationary search model: a structural estimation to e...
This paper considers a job search model in which the environment is not constant throughout the unemployment spell and where jobs do not last for ever. In this situation,... -
Timing structural change: a conditional probabilistic approach (replication d...
We propose a strategy for assessing structural stability in time-series frameworks when potential change dates are unknown. Existing stability tests are effective in detecting... -
gnuplot 4.0: a portable interactive plotting utility (replication data)
UNIX, IBM OS/2, MS Windows, DOS, Apple Macintosh, VMS, Atari and many other platforms. It is free and open source, though it is not licensed under the GPL, nor is it GNU... -
Economic development and the return to human capital: a smooth coefficient se...
This paper investigates the impact of human capital on the process of economic growth by allowing the contribution of traditional inputs (capital and labour) as well as that of... -
High school completion and future youth unemployment: new evidence from High ...
In this paper, I provide new evidence from High School and Beyond (HSB) on the effects of compulsory attendance on high school completion and future youth unemployment. I... -
An econometric model of nonlinear dynamics in the joint distribution of stock...
This paper considers a variety of econometric models for the joint distribution of US stock and bond returns in the presence of regime switching dynamics. While simple two- or... -
The policy preferences of the US Federal Reserve (replication data)
In this paper we model and explain US macroeconomic outcomes subject to the discipline that monetary policy is set optimally. Exploiting the restrictions that come from optimal... -
The cross-Euler equation approach to intertemporal substitution in import dem...
This paper addresses the empirical dilemma in identifying and estimating the parameters governing the intertemporal elasticity of substitution (IES) for import demand. We... -
A forecast comparison of volatility models: does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)? ...
We compare 330 ARCH-type models in terms of their ability to describe the conditional variance. The models are compared out-of-sample using DM?$ exchange rate data and IBM... -
Testing chaotic dynamics via Lyapunov exponents (replication data)
We propose a new test to detect chaotic dynamics, based on the stability of the largest Lyapunov exponent from different sample sizes. This test is applied to the data used in... -
Estimating dynamic equilibrium economies: linear versus nonlinear likelihood ...
This paper compares two methods for undertaking likelihood-based inference in dynamic equilibrium economies: a sequential Monte Carlo filter and the Kalman filter. The... -
Periodically expanding discounted debt: a threat to fiscal policy sustainabil...
This paper models the behaviour of discounted US debt using a Markov-switching time series model. The significance of modelling fiscal policy within this framework derives from... -
Semiparametric three-step estimation methods for simultaneous equation system...
This paper proposes a new method for estimating a structural model of labour supply in which hours of work depend on (log) wages and the wage rate is considered endogenous. The... -
Semiparametric Bayesian inference in multiple equation models (replication data)
This paper outlines an approach to Bayesian semiparametric regression in multiple equation models which can be used to carry out inference in seemingly unrelated regressions or... -
Nonparametric bounds on the returns to language skills (replication data)
This paper applies the theoretical literature on nonparametric bounds on treatment effects to the estimation of how limited English proficiency (LEP) affects wages and... -
A multi-level panel STAR model for US manufacturing sectors (replication data)
We introduce a multi-level smooth transition model for a panel of time series, which can be used to examine the presence of common nonlinear business cycle features across many... -
Distribution approximations for cointegration tests with stationary exogenous...
The distribution of a functional of two correlated vector-Brownian motions is approximated by a Gamma distribution. This functional represents the limiting distribution for... -
Testing the purchasing power parity through I(2) cointegration techniques (re...
This paper contributes to the empirical literature on the purchasing power parity (PPP) over the post-Bretton Woods period by providing a time-series based interpretation of the...
